Saturday, July 13, 2013

Five Seven Five Sports: 2012 in Haiku - Language of the Games

Sports attorney, author, poet and former Princeton University first baseman Andrew Hanson has authored a new book titled "Five Seven Five Sports : 2012 in Haiku - Language of the Games".  It's a remarkable read, with a collection of Hanson's haiku poetry chronicling sports during 2012.  Here are a few of my favorite poems from it:

* * *
January 30, 2012 
Cross-court pick, seal, roll,
So fundamentally sound,
Leading to lift-off:

The winged monster,
Half Blake Griffin, half griffin,
Soars like an eagle,

Meets Kendrick Perkins,
Toughest member of Thunder,
Arms and elbow up,

Blasts uncoachable,
Heavenly throw-down dunk from
Top of backboard square,

Sends Staples Center
Into murmurous frenzy,
Adds and-1 free throw.  


April 20, 2012 
Fenway Park's birthday:
Pure music to Boston's eyes - 
Rice to Yastrzemski;

Legends fill the field,
Catch first pitches, lead the toast,
And proclaim, "Play Ball!" - 

Red Sox and Yankees - 
100 years to the hour
Of Fenway's first day...

Big Papi measures
Sports' most famous barrier,
High above left field;

Thirty-seven feet
No match for his home run swat,
First ruled a double;

After players pause
Ump's spinning hand frees Ortiz,
And his trot resumes...

Green Monster absorbs 
Repko's catch and collision,
Passes test of time.


June 23, 2012 
Ten women playing - 
Professionals before fans - 
"IX" uniforms;

40 years later,
Title IX's daughters compete;
Lynx outscore the Sky.


July 2, 2012 
Baseball "Horse" contest - 
Degree of difficulty:
The Pittsburgh foul pole;

Jones yanks one down line,
Practically splitting target,
Hitting the high bar;

Next shot - higher arc;
Walker avoids a letter,
Tallies an "HR".


November 10, 2012 
Jarred by lineman's hip,
The ball and play float, at risk -
Johnny on the spot;

Manziel transitions,
His gaze returned to end zone,
Ball back in his hands;

Johnny Football-Swope,
A&M-arrival play -
Easy pitch and catch...

Slicing 'Bama's route,
Everett's wise 4th-quarter pick -
Go-ahead bid fails...

Set to receive punt,
'Bama enters neutral zone - 
Unbeaten no more.

 * * *

I strongly recommend picking up Five Seven Five Sports.  Makes a great gift, too.

Tactical retreat: Ultras absent from protests in Egypt and Turkey


By James M. Dorsey

Militant, highly politicized soccer fans who played key roles in the toppling of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, opposition to post-Mubarak military rule, and last month’s mass protests against Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan have been as organizations conspicuously absent from the dramatic scenes in Cairo with the overthrow of President Mohammed Morsi and ongoing smaller scale protests in Istanbul.

While endorsing participation of their members in ongoing protests in both countries, violence-prone, militant soccer fans known as ultras in Egypt and Turkey have retreated to their traditional public stance that they are not political organizations but do not stop their followers from engaging politically. It is a position designed to minimize their vulnerability as groups and shield them from being politically buttonholed.

Egyptian ultras, one of the country’s largest civic groups, adopted that position on the eve of 18 days of mass protests in 2011 on Cairo’s Tahrir Square that forced Mubarak to resign after 30 years in office. At the same time, leaders privately encouraged their members to play the key role they did in the president’s overthrow.

The past week’s events in Egypt form a dilemma for the ultras whose members populate the full spectrum of politics in the country. The ultras have a deep-seated distrust of the military and the security forces who have re-emerged in full strength as a result of the anti-Morsi protests. By the same token, many ultras oppose Morsi because of his perceived attempt to undermine the goals of Egypt’s popular revolt and his failure to reform the security sector.

Like in Egypt, rival fan groups united in Turkey last month to protect protesters and add their voice to the opposition against Mr. Erdogan. But in contrast to the Egyptians, they publicly declared their united stand as organizations under the banner ‘Istanbul United.’

Nevertheless, the tactical retreat and renewed seemingly exclusive organizational focus on soccer of fan groups in Egypt and Turkey follows incidents in both countries ostensibly designed to intimidate the fans and curb their activism.

More than 70 militant supporters of crowned Cairo club Al Ahli SC were killed in February last year in a politically loaded soccer brawl in the Suez Canal city  of Port Said that many believe was an effort that got out of hand to punish the ultras for their opposition to and vicious clashes with the police. The ultras have since then staged Port Said-related protests and stormed stadiums because of a ban on spectators attending matches.

The Egyptian Football Association (EFA) this week cancelled the soccer season because of the post-Morsi political volatility. It had earlier suspended the league because of security concerns.  

Much like the Egyptian ultras, spokesmen for Carsi, the powerful, popular militant soccer support group of Istanbul’s Besiktas JK, say they are lying low since 20 of its members were charged with being part of an illegal organization in the wake of last month’s Gezi Park protests.

As a result, Carsi denies any relationship to nightly Hyde Park style gatherings in the Istanbul neighborhood of Besiktas’s Abbasaga Park, one of multiple such public forums being held across the city. Nonetheless, Carsi members dressed in their club's black and white often moderate the Abbasaga discussions and performances organized to discuss the future of the protest movement, exchange news and listen to music.

The charges against Carsi reflect Mr. Erdogan's attempts to criminalize the fans and the protesters in a bid to cater to a traditionalist and conservative base and distinguish himself from the more modernist façade of his Islamist rival, Fethullalh Gulen, a powerful, self-exiled, 76-year old imam with a strong popular and media base and influence in state institutions like the police and the judiciary.

Mr. Gulen, shared Mr. Erdogan's criticism of the protesters and blaming of international media but in contrast to the prime minister quickly backed away from denouncing them as vandals and foreign agents. Instead he urged his followers not to underestimate the grievance underlying the protests and to accept that his movement as well as the government had not done enough to resolve social problems. At the same time, he sought to drive a wedge between the protesters by praising the original peaceful environmentalists demonstrating against the cutting down of trees in Taksim's Gezi Park as opposed to violent protesters, a reference to the soccer fans.

Carsi’s decision to bide its time did not stop small groups of fans of rival clubs from joining a demonstration in late June by some 20,000 fans of Fenerbahce who were protesting against the allegedly politically motivated allegations of match fixing. The protest demanded the resignation of Mr. Erdogan and denounced Galatasary for its alleged involvement in one characteristic of the match-fixing scandal: a struggle for control of Fenerbahce, Turkish soccer soccer's most prized political asset, between Mr. Erdogan and Mr. Gulen.

The protest came days after European soccer body UEFA banned Fenerbahce alongside rival Besiktas from competing in European championships as a result of match-fixing allegations. Both clubs are appealing the decision.

In contrast to a protest 24 hours earlier on Istanbul’s Taksim Square against Mr. Erdogan's haughtiness, grandiose urban plans for Istanbul and perceived attempts to Islamize Turkish society which confronted a large police force at the ready, security forces were nowhere to be seen during the Fenerbahce march down Bagdat Caddesi, the high-end shopping throughway on Istanbul's Asian side. A day earlier police armed with tear and pepper gas and backed up by a water cannon occupied Taksim and surrounded protesters seeking to enter the square.

Less visible was a second contrast between the two Istanbul protests: while Fenerbahce fans protested under their group and club’s banners Carsi as a group has refused in recent weeks to participate in regular demonstrations on Taksim square.

"The Gezi Park demonstrations have shown that rival soccer fans can work together. The demonstrations have put Erdogan on notice. But that's not all. They also send a message to Gulen," said one soccer fan.


James M. Dorsey is a Senior Fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, co-director of the Institute of Fan Culture of the University of Würzburg, and the author of the blog, The Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer.

Friday, July 12, 2013

Should College Athletes Be Paid?

This past April, Boston College hosted a debate between the University of Hartford's Allen Sack and myself titled "Should College Athletes Be Paid?"  This symposium was direct a follow-up to our participation in "Debate Club" where we submitted essays to US News outlining our opinions on this very issue.  Those essays, along with a few others, can be found here.

After a bit of work, I'm pleased to provide you with the entire video from that evening's presentation.


Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Egypt on the Brink: The Military’s Dilemma




RSIS presents the following commentary Egypt on the Brink: The Military’s Dilemma
by James M. Dorsey. It is also available online at this link. (To print it, click on this
link.). Kindly forward any comments or feedback to the Editor RSIS Commentaries, at RSISPublication@ntu.edu.sg  
________________________________________

No. 127/2013 dated 11 July 2013

Egypt on the Brink:
The Military’s Dilemma
By James M. Dorsey

Synopsis

Egypt’s deep state has reasserted itself with the removal of President Mohammed
Morsi from office. Questions of legitimacy are likely to plague attempts to return
stability to Egypt with some form of military-guided democracy.

Commentary

EVENTS IN Cairo presage a return to the situation under ousted President Hosni
Mubarak that prompted millions of Egyptians to camp out on Cairo's Tahrir Square
two years ago  until the military forced him to step down after 30 years in office.
However little in the drama currently unfolding harks back to the demands put
forward by the protesters in 2011: an end to the police state, greater political
freedom, respect for human rights, an end to corruption, and justice and dignity.

Egypt was seemingly united when Mubarak was ousted and the mass
demonstrations were singularly directed at an autocratic president who hailed from
the military. This time round, the Muslim Brotherhood’s mass protests against the
removal of Mubarak’s successor, President Mohamed Morsi, complicates things
for the military that sees itself as the guarantor of the state. The military has in
recent days demonstrated that it has learnt lessons from its bungling of Egypt’s
transition from autocracy to democracy in the 17 months that it ruled the country
following Mubarak’s departure.

Return of the deep state
This time the generals are seeking to pull the strings from behind a military-appointed
interim president, Adly Mahmoud Mansour, rather than taking the reins themselves.
That effort is however already faltering with the rejection of Mansour’s candidate for
interim prime minister, the liberal opposition leader Mohammed el Baradei, by the
Salafist Nour Party, which initially supported the military in its putsch against Morsi’s
presidency. Whatever ruling group  emerges from the current crisis will govern a
deeply divided country in which one substantial segment – comprising the millions of
supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood - believes that the disruption of the democratic
process was designed to exclude its  participation.

That perception as well as the reaffirmation of the role of what Egyptians call the deep
state - the military, the security forces, the judiciary and parts of the media – is likely
to make a smooth consensual return to a democratic process difficult at best. It is
reinforced by the military’s return to Mubarak-era repression with the arrest of
hundreds of Muslim Brothers, the closing down of Islamist media and possible charges
being levied against Morsi.

This week’s death of 51 Muslim Brothers, demonstrating in front of the Republican
Guards headquarters where Morsi is allegedly being held, creates a situation similar to
the crisis last year after 74 soccer fans died in a politically-loaded brawl in the Suez Canal
city of Port Said. In contrast to the current crisis, Egyptians then rallied in support of the
militant soccer fans. Nevertheless, the Brotherhood’s call for an uprising against the
military promises to escalate violence and a crackdown on the group.

The military so far has shied away from symbolising the reinstatement of Mubarak-era
practices by declaring martial law. The Brotherhood may however leave it with little
choice. It sees the peaceful protests against the military intervention as a provocation of
violence against the Muslim Brotherhood - as a way to garner international sympathy and
convince Egyptians that their country is returning to autocracy rather than moving towards
democratic transition.

Succeeding in forcing the military to openly take control is unlikely to make the
Brotherhood’s opponents more sympathetic to its cause. But it may convince parts of the
fragile anti-Morsi coalition, united on little else than wanting the Brotherhood out of office,
that by relying on the military, they simply jumped from the frying pan into the fire.
 
Whatever way it takes, the military is likely to see its image tarnished - much like it did
after ruling the country during the transition from Mubarak to Morsi. The military has
already suffered two setbacks in recent days: the thwarting of El Baradei’s
appointment and the escalation caused by the deaths of the Muslim Brotherhood
protesters.

Getting legitimacy right

At the heart of Egypt’s crisis is a mis-interpretation of what constitutes democratic
legitimacy by both Morsi and his opponents as well as a military that is determined,
whatever the cost, to protect its perks and privileges. Morsi failed to recognise that
legitimacy is defined not only by electoral victory but also by recognition of that
legitimacy by those who voted against him. The mass protests on Tahrir Square against
him demonstrated that Morsi had lost that recognition. By the same token, legitimacy is
hardly restored by military intervention and the suppression of a political grouping that
enjoys the support of up to 25 percent of the population.

The issue of legitimacy is likely to plague Egypt for some time to come. Even if the
military and Mansour were able to steer Egypt towards speedy free and fair elections in
which the Muslim Brotherhood is allowed - and agrees - to participate and a constitution
that is more universally accepted than the one Morsi unilaterally adopted, the government
that emerges from that poll will be perceived as one constrained  by the military’s political
priorities.

Restoring legitimacy and stability in Egypt will ultimately depend on Egyptians insisting
that their differences are managed through dialogue rather than intervention, an
abandonment of majoritarian concepts of democracy in favour of pluralism and
inclusiveness, and a democratically-elected government that is capable of imposing its
will on the military and the other components of Egypt’s omnipresent deep state.


James M. Dorsey is a Senior Fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of 
International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, 
co-director of the Institute of Fan Culture of the University of Würzburg, and the 
________________________________________

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Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Military Coup in Egypt: A Recipe for Failure

RSIS presents the following commentary Military Coup in Egypt: A Recipe for
Failure by James M. Dorsey. It is also available online at this link. (To print it,
click on this link.). Kindly forward any comments or feedback to the
Editor RSIS Commentaries, at  RSISPublication@ntu.edu.sg



No. 126/2013 dated 9 July 2013

Military Coup in Egypt:
A Recipe for Failure

By James M. Dorsey

Synopsis

Egypt’s transition from autocracy to democracy has been waylaid by the two
forces that threatened it from the outset: a military determined to retain its
power behind the scenes and a Muslim Brotherhood that sought power 
despite being ill-prepared for office. The ousting of President Mohammed Morsi
will further complicate Egypt’s transition, change the dynamics of Islamist
politics, and trigger broader repercussions across the Middle East and North
Africa.

Commentary

EGYPT IS back to square one, with the military grabbing centre stage again
through a coup in all but name. This came just two-and-a-half years after
mass protests toppled President Hosni Mubarak in a popular uprising that
rejected a security-dominated autocracy and the military’s behind-the-scenes
central role in politics. The military owes its return and the prospect of regaining
ts key role in Egyptian politics to the missteps of ousted President
Mohammed Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood government – the very force with
whom it was at odds for the past six decades.

Morsi came to office after more than a year of transitory military rule that the
armed forces bungled with its inept, post-revolt attempts to preserve as much as
possible the old autocratic system and its perks and privileges: control of national
security; an independent relationship with the United States that funds it to the
tune of  US$1.3 billion a year; rejection of civilian oversight and autonomy for its
commercial empire that accounts for at least ten percent of Egypt’s gross national
product.

Legitimacy versus endorsement

History will remember Morsi less as Egypt’s first post-revolt, democratically-elected
president than as a failed leader who thwarted the achievements of the
popular uprising’s goals and strengthened by default the military’s grip on politics,
while presiding over an economy that was already in stark decline following the
revolt that overthrew Mubarak. He also severely tarnished Saudi Arabia and
Qatar’s support for Islamists across the Middle East and North Africa, and
demonstrated that the Brotherhood, despite being one of the world’s largest
and best organised Islamist movements, has a long way to go before it is
ready for government.

Morsi’s failure is much the result of opposition and resistance by key state
institutions – the military, the security forces, and the judiciary – to the rise of
the Brotherhood. Morsi’s decision to run for office, contrasting starkly with the
Brotherhood’s initial reluctance to join the anti-Mubarak uprising, broke its early
promises not to seek a post-revolt majority in parliament or field a candidate for
president.

Morsi’s insistence to the bitter end that he was a legitimately-elected leader
reflected the same majoritarian interpretation of democracy displayed by Turkish
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in his response last month to mass protests.
Both Morsi and Erdogan’s failure to adopt inclusive policies alienated a significant
portion of the population. But unlike Erdogan, Morsi failed to realise that he had lost
the second ingredient of legitimacy alongside electoral victory: a recognition by those
that had not voted for him that he was the country’s elected leader.

Far-reaching consequences

Morsi’s political demise has far-reaching consequences for Egypt as well as the Middle
East and North Africa:

  • The military will remain a key force free of civilian control and with a significant
political and economic power base even if newly-appointed President Adly
Mansour moves immediately towards free and fair elections. The reinstatement of
Mubarak’s attorney general, the rounding up of hundreds of Muslim Bothers in the
wake of the coup, and the prosecutor’s investigation of Morsi on charges of
‘insulting the presidency’ suggest that the military sees its intervention as an
opportunity to shape Egypt in its mould. It raises the question of the role of the
military in future anti-autocratic struggles in the Middle East and North Africa.

  • As Egypt ventures into uncharted waters, the military would do well to look
towards Southeast Asia where retired military officers in countries like the
Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand and Myanmar successfully managed their
countries’ transition to democracy. Those officers understood that their interests
were best protected by getting in front of the cart rather than seeking to salvage
what they could of a failed system that lacked popular support. That is a
recognition that has yet to be accepted by Egypt’s armed forces as well as other
Arab militaries.

  • The coup reinforces a widespread sentiment among Islamists that, in the words
of Morsi’s national security advisor Essam al-Haddad, “democracy is not for
Muslims.” It risks the radicalisation of Islamists across the region who may see
the ousting of Morsi as evidence that the Brotherhood’s strategy of working within the
system is doomed to failure. There is little short of releasing detained Brothers,
lifting the ban on Islamist media and immediate free and fair elections in which the
Brotherhood will be allowed to compete unhindered that will counter the
Islamists’ sense of disenfranchisement.

That sense of disenfranchisement is reinforced by the repression of the Brothers by
Egypt’s three previous presidents – Gamal Abdel Nasser, Anwar Sadat and Mubarak;
the 1991 abortion of Algerian elections to prevent the victorious Islamists from taking
office, thus sparking a brutal civil war; the soft coup against Turkish Islamist Prime
Minister Necmettin Erbakan in the late 1990s; and the Western boycott of Gaza
following the electoral triumph of Hamas.

  • The intervention of the military strengthens Saudi Arabia in its rivalry with Qatar for
influence in the region. Saudi Arabia, backed by the United Arab Emirates,
cemented its regional predominance by assuring the Egyptian military that it would
step in if the United States cut off its US$1.3 billion annual aid to the armed forces
or if Qatar, the Brotherhood’s main backer, reduced its $5 billion support to the
government during Morsi’s tenure. The intervention was Qatar’s second regional
setback as the country seeks to stamp its own influence in the Middle East. Similarly
the supply by Saudi Arabia of non-US surface-to-air missiles to Syrian rebels –
endorsed by the US - was from the kingdom’s perspective designed to strength
the resistance to President Bashar al-Assad as well as to weaken the
Brotherhood’s Syrian wing supported by Qatar.

The Egyptian military intervention constitutes a watershed that is fraught with danger and
likely to reverberate throughout the Middle East and North Africa. The absence of a
reformist wing in Arab militaries comparable to those in Southeast Asia will complicate the
region’s transition from autocracy to a more open, transparent and accountable polity.


James M. Dorsey is a Senior Fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
(RSIS), Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, co-director of the Institute of Fan
Culture of the University of Würzburg and the author of the blog, The Turbulent World of
Middle East Soccer.



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Due to the high number of publications by our RSIS Centre for Non-Traditional Security
Studies (NTS), RSIS maintains a separate subscription facility for the Centre. Please click 
here to subscribe to the Centre's publications.



Monday, July 8, 2013

Wrongful Death and Vicarious Liability connecting to Aaron Hernandez

I have a new article for SI.com on potential liability for Aaron Hernandez, the Patriots and the NFL stemming from the murder case. 

Saturday, July 6, 2013

Death, taxes, and Dwight Howard

Blog Emperor Paul Caron points out that although the Lakers offered Dwight Howard more money, the combination of Texas not having state income tax and California's top marginal tax rate of 13.3 % means he likely will take more money with the Houston deal.

Friday, July 5, 2013

Sports and patriotism

From ESPN's Howard Bryant. I'm not sure this is as new a phenomenon as he suggests or that sports used to be apolitical, but I agree that it has become more pervasive and, to some, obnoxious.  I particularly like the closing paragraph, where he points out the inconsistency (if not outright hypocrisy) of leagues and the media immersing games in compulsory politics, then criticizing players who speak out for their own causes and ideals, demanding that they "shut up and play."

Monday, July 1, 2013

Given Media Frenzy, Can Aaron Hernandez Receive a Fair Trial?

I have a new article for SI on the impact of the media coverage on Aaron Hernandez receiving a fair trial, as well as whether he might face multiple trials.

NCAA Sanctions against Oregon: Much Ado About Nothing

The sanctions handed down to Oregon this week are unlikely to have any practical impact. Oregon was accused of paying a recruiter, Willie Lyles, $25,000 to funnel a recruit to the school.  After failing to agree on a proper punishment through the NCAA’s summary disposition process, the prevailing sentiment was that the Committee on Infractions (COI) would punish the Ducks harshly, most likely with a bowl ban of at least one year.  That was not the case.  The school faces no bowl ban, which generally accompanies major sanctions (See, Ohio State, Penn State, USC, and countless others).  Other penalties were equally insignificant.  The reduction of one scholarship per year is unlikely to yield significant detrimental effects.  The reduction in official visits from 56 to 37, accompanied with other various recruiting restrictions, will make the task a bit more challenging for the coaching staff, but overall, will not impede a program of this magnitude.  The harshest sanction, the 18-month show cause penalty against former Head Coach Chip Kelly, also has no real impact since Kelly now coaches in the NFL, and is unlikely to return to college during that 18-month period. 

A number of explanations for the decision could be at play here.  One factor is that the NCAA’s recruiting regulations have undergone significant change in the last few years (See generally, NCAA Bylaw 13); it may simply be that the facts of this case were just not that nefarious based on emerging sentiment and rule changes.  Another ancillary consideration that the COI likely took into account is that the student-athlete in question never played for Oregon.  Perhaps the COI was actually reluctant to issue harsh sanctions due to the constant and biting criticism NCAA Enforcement has faced as a result of the Miami investigation, and other public relations missteps. 

One take way from this decision, however, is that the NCAA does not look favorably upon lying to investigators, and it will punish teams and individuals accordingly.  It appears that Oregon was frank with investigators, and admitted to paying Mr. Lyles the $25,000 fee.  Whereas, at USC and Ohio State, key administrators and coaches attempted to conceal key facts, resulting in much more draconian sanctions (Penn State is a different matter entirely).  Also, while there is no way to know for certain, it is interesting to theorize what would have happened if Kelly was still coaching at Oregon.  As it is, the team got off light, and he received the harshest sanction.  Would that have been reversed if he was still the sitting coach?  Perhaps.  Similarly, would the COI have issued a show cause penalty of significant length to an active head coach?  Its difficult to say.  It appears that Kelly’s penalty further serves as an example of the NCAA’s distaste for dishonesty:  Kelly received an 18-month show cause penalty for paying money to an unscrupulous recruiter, but was honest about it after the fact; Bruce Pearl, former Head Basketball Coach at Tennessee, hosted a barbeque for prospective-student athletes at his home, a seemingly harmless offense, yet he lied about the event and was issued a three-year show cause order.  Ultimately, there is no way to accurately predict how the COI will rule in these cases, but the best advice that can be given is that when the Association arrives on campus, the truth should not be concealed. 

Hat tip to Brian Konkel for his work on this piece.